PGA

U.S. Open 2026

Written By: Dimes Griffin

6/16/26

Shinnecock Hills Golf Club – Southampton, NY

7,440 Yards – Par 70 – Greens: Bentgrass/Poa

Course Type: Links

Water Hazards: 1

Bunkers: 160 Total

Designed by: William Flynn (1931)

The 126th U.S. Open returns to one of golf’s most iconic and demanding venues as the world’s best players descend upon Shinnecock Hills Golf Club for the sixth U.S. Open contested on the historic Long Island property. Scheduled for June 18-21, the championship marks another chapter in the storied relationship between the USGA and one of its founding clubs, with expectations high for a classic U.S. Open test defined by firm fairways, punishing rough, fast greens, and ever-present coastal winds.

No storyline looms larger than world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and his pursuit of the career Grand Slam. Already the dominant player of his generation, Scheffler arrives at Shinnecock seeking the one major championship still missing from his résumé. Meanwhile, defending Masters champion Rory McIlroy continues his quest for a second U.S. Open title and enters the week among the betting favorites despite occasional struggles off the tee. Other major contenders include Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood, and 2018 Shinnecock champion Brooks Koepka, whose power and patience proved the perfect formula the last time the championship visited Southampton.

Another compelling storyline is whether modern equipment and elite athleticism can finally tame Shinnecock. The last U.S. Open held here in 2018 was won at just one-over par, and many observers believe another over-par winning score is entirely possible if the forecasted winds arrive. Community sentiment among golf fans and analysts points toward a championship where survival—not birdie-making—may determine the winner.

Course Preview & Key Stats

Shinnecock Hills will play as a par 70 measuring approximately 7,440 yards. The layout features 12 par 4s, four par 3s, and just two par 5s, placing a premium on long-iron play and precision approach shots. The course’s small, sloping greens average roughly 4,500 square feet and are surrounded by deep bunkers and thick native fescue. Unlike many modern championship venues, there are no water hazards, yet Shinnecock remains one of the toughest tests in golf due to its exposed terrain and links-style characteristics.

Originally redesigned by legendary architect William Flynn in 1931, the course sits atop rolling sand-based terrain that allows it to play firm and fast even after rainfall. Players will face constantly changing conditions as Atlantic winds sweep across the property, making club selection and course management critical. The infamous seventh hole, the uphill par-3 11th, and the demanding finishing stretch remain among the most talked-about holes on the property.

  • Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
  • Driving Accuracy

Players to Watch

Scheffler enters as the clear favorite thanks to his elite ball-striking and ability to grind through difficult scoring conditions. McIlroy’s length and experience make him dangerous if he can keep the ball in play, while Rahm’s powerful all-around game appears perfectly suited for Shinnecock’s demanding setup. Fleetwood and Fitzpatrick have built reputations as excellent wind players, and both could thrive if conditions become severe. Keep an eye on Koepka as well; his previous success at Shinnecock and impressive U.S. Open record make him a legitimate threat regardless of recent form.

Weather Forecast

Early forecasts suggest players will receive the full Shinnecock experience. Temperatures are expected to range from the mid-70s to low-80s throughout the week, while sustained winds between 10 and 20 mph could significantly impact scoring. Thursday currently projects as the windiest day of the championship, with gusty southwest winds expected to challenge even the best ball-strikers in the world. If those forecasts hold, par could once again become a valuable score.

Tournament Details, Purse & Cut Line

The championship rounds will be played June 18-21, with a full field of 156 players competing for one of golf’s most prestigious titles. The expected purse is $21.5 million, with the champion set to earn one of the largest winner’s checks in major championship golf. After 36 holes, the field will be reduced to the low 60 players and ties, ensuring only those who successfully navigate Shinnecock’s relentless challenge will play the weekend.

As always, the U.S. Open promises to identify the player best equipped to handle pressure, adversity, and championship-caliber conditions. Few venues embody that mission better than Shinnecock Hills, where patience, precision, and resilience will ultimately determine who lifts the trophy on Sunday evening.

Previous Winners

  • 2025: J.J. Spaun (-1): Oakmont
  • 2024: Bryson DeChambeau (-6): Pinehurst
  • 2023: Wyndham Clark (-10): Los Angeles CC
  • 2022: Matt Fitzpatrick (-6): The Country Club
  • 2021: Jon Rahm (-6): Torrey Pines
  • 2020: Bryson DeChambeau (-6): Winged Foot
  • 2019: Gary Woodland (-13): Pebble Beach
  • 2018: Brooks Koepka (+1): Shinnecock Hills
  • 2017: Brooks Koepka (-16): Erin Hills
  • 2016: Dustin Johnson (-4) Oakmont

Dimes’ Players to Watch

The U.S. Open returns to Shinnecock Hills, one of the most demanding venues in championship golf. With firm fairways, thick fescue, small greens, and unpredictable coastal winds, the course rewards complete players rather than specialists. History suggests that patience, elite ball-striking, and strong course management will determine who is standing atop the leaderboard on Sunday. Here are the players most likely to make headlines this week.

Tournament Favorites

Scottie Scheffler

The world No. 1 arrives at Shinnecock with an opportunity to complete the career Grand Slam. Few players in modern golf combine consistency, elite iron play, short-game creativity, and mental toughness as well as Scheffler. U.S. Open setups often reward players who avoid big mistakes, and no one in the game does that better. If conditions become difficult, Scheffler may be the player best equipped to handle them.

Rory McIlroy

McIlroy enters the championship with renewed confidence following another major championship season. His combination of power and high-ball flight can create scoring opportunities on a long par-70 layout, but success at Shinnecock will depend on driving accuracy. If he keeps the ball in play, he has the firepower to contend for a second U.S. Open title.

Jon Rahm

Rahm has the ideal profile for a demanding U.S. Open venue. He is long enough to attack difficult holes, possesses an elite short game, and has already proven he can win America’s national championship. The key will be maintaining patience when Shinnecock inevitably produces difficult stretches.

Bryson DeChambeau

Few players embrace difficult U.S. Open conditions like DeChambeau. His unique power game gives him advantages off the tee, and his previous U.S. Open success demonstrates he can thrive when par becomes a good score. If he avoids costly mistakes around the greens, he could be a major factor.

Contenders to Watch

Ludvig Åberg

The young Swede continues to establish himself as one of golf’s brightest stars. His combination of length, ball-striking precision, and calm demeanor makes him an excellent fit for a championship that demands discipline. This could be the week he takes another step toward golf superstardom.

Xander Schauffele

Schauffele’s U.S. Open record is among the strongest in the modern era. He consistently performs well in difficult conditions and rarely beats himself. His all-around game makes him one of the safest contenders in the field.

Tommy Fleetwood

Fleetwood’s memorable final-round 63 at Shinnecock in 2018 remains one of the greatest rounds in U.S. Open history. He is comfortable playing in wind, excels with long irons, and understands the nuances of the course. Few players have better course memories entering the week.

Brooks Koepka

The 2018 champion at Shinnecock can never be overlooked in major championships. Koepka’s track record in U.S. Opens speaks for itself, and he has repeatedly shown an ability to elevate his game on golf’s biggest stages.

Dark Horses

Russell Henley

Henley may not receive the attention of the game’s biggest names, but his accuracy and elite iron play make him a dangerous sleeper. Shinnecock rewards players who consistently position themselves correctly, and Henley excels in that area.

Aaron Rai

Fresh off a breakthrough major season, Rai’s precision off the tee and disciplined approach could translate well to a difficult U.S. Open setup. He may lack the star power of some contenders, but his game fits the course surprisingly well.

Cameron Smith

When conditions become firm and fast, imagination around the greens becomes increasingly valuable. Smith remains one of the best short-game players in the world and has the creativity needed to navigate Shinnecock’s challenging green complexes.

Alex Fitzpatrick

One of the emerging names in professional golf, Fitzpatrick has shown impressive form throughout the season. His comfort in windy conditions and links-style golf could make him one of the surprise stories of the week.

Dimes’ Power Rankings: Top 10 Entering the 2026 U.S. Open

1. Scottie Scheffler

The most complete player in the world and an ideal fit for a demanding U.S. Open venue.

2. Rory McIlroy

A major champion with the power and experience to challenge for the title.

3. Xander Schauffele

One of the most consistent performers in major championships.

4. Jon Rahm

Built for difficult golf courses and pressure-packed Sundays.

5. Bryson DeChambeau

A proven U.S. Open performer with a unique skill set.

6. Ludvig Åberg

Possesses the tools to win any major championship.

7. Tommy Fleetwood

Excellent course history and one of the strongest links-style resumes in the field.

8. Brooks Koepka

Major championship pedigree makes him impossible to ignore.

9. Cam Young

Elite accuracy and iron play could be rewarded at Shinnecock.

10. Viktor Hovland

One of the game’s premier ball-strikers and a threat whenever conditions favor precision.

Final Thoughts

The beauty of Shinnecock Hills is that it rarely allows a lucky winner. The course exposes weaknesses and rewards complete golfers who can handle adversity. While Scheffler enters as the favorite, history suggests several contenders and dark horses will emerge as the championship unfolds. If the wind blows and scoring becomes difficult, expect patience and discipline—not raw power—to determine the 2026 U.S. Open champion.

Dollaboys Expert Pick Chart

DimesShinnecock Caddie
Pick to WinScottie SchefflerJon Rahm
Pick to Finish Top 10Tommy FleetwoodMatt Fitzpatrick
Dark Horse Cam Smith
(120-1)
Jordan Spieth
(80-1)
Likely to DisappointBryson DeChambeauBrooks Koepka
Best Bet Cam Young, Matt Fitzpatrick,
Tommy Fleetwood & Patrick Reed
to make the cut +180
Patrick Reed Top 20 Finish +155